Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T09:53:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E5 0xe510…0a33 crypto 193 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (210 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$116 (+4%) realized +$124 · open −$8
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR77%break-even
Win rate79%150W / 41L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day209.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$14now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$22
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (210 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +77%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 +2.0% -7.7% 79% 77% -9.9%
≤30d 191 +2.0% -7.7% 79% 77% -9.9%
≤90d 191 +2.0% -7.7% 79% 77% -9.9%
all 191 +2.0% -7.7% 79% 77% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover209.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 77% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 55% -18.6%
15% -24.6% 23% -26.4%
20% -32.0% 10% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$17 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.98 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$14
Realized+$124
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses150 / 41
Open positions2
Markets (closed)191 / 193
History coverage1d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day209.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 191 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 57¢ 36¢ $21 $13 −$8 (-36%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 46¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 41 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 28 $52 +$17 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$10 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$9 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$10 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 28 $36 −$36 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 28 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 28 $28 −$28 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$9 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 28 $26 +$16 +61%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$5 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 28 $36 +$21 +59%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 28 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $52 +$11 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $36 +$7 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $28 −$28 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $36 −$36 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 28 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $36 −$36 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 28 $23 +$6 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$8 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $36 +$18 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 28 $44 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 28 $44 +$11 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$5 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 28 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 28 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $36 +$9 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $52 +$14 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$3 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $36 +$11 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $20 +$10 +50%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $34 −$33 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $20 +$10 +49%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$12 +43%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 28 $52 +$16 +31%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 28 $28 −$28 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 28 $52 +$15 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 28 $27 +$8 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 28 $34 +$18 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 28 $35 −$34 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 28 $36 +$12 +32%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$7 +24%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$10 +35%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $52 +$13 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $52 +$8 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 28 $44 −$43 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 28 $28 +$5 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $22 0m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $7 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $15 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $28 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $52 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $28 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $30 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $22 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $28 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $26 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $28 25m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $11 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $13 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $13 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $28 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $9 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $9 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $12 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $20 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $12 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $6 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $13 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 40m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.41 · official $17.73 · 392 history records