Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:51:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe50e…45c5
sports · 862 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$460 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$457 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$457
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses434 / 427
Est. fees paid−$201
Open positions1
Markets (closed)861 / 862
History coverage14d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day241.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 1 History 861 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$256
7 days−$408
14 days−$458
30 days−$458
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$23 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $24 −$3 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $21 −$2 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -10%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $40 $0 -0%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $33 −$18 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14? Jun 13 $7 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -17%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $21 −$6 -28%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $6 +$1 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 14? Jun 13 $6 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $7 −$2 -26%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 14? Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 14? Jun 13 $2 $0 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -9%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14? Jun 13 $8 +$1 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -11%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $8 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 13? Jun 12 $4 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $45 −$2 -4%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $22 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $11 −$1 -8%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 12 $17 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13? Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +203%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +23%
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 12 $2 $0 -20%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $14 +$6 +43%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13? Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 13? Jun 12 $12 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 12 $4 −$1 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% −$245
weather 37% +$53
other 10% −$61
crypto 5% −$174
politics 1% −$17
world 0% −$10
finance 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 74¢ $7 40m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? SELL No 74¢ $8 40m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? SELL Yes 68¢ $4 40m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 81¢ $4 50m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $18 57m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 58m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 14? SELL Yes 25¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? SELL Yes 24¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 13? SELL Yes 24¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 99¢ $40 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 99¢ $6 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) SELL United States 36¢ $14 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 99¢ $40 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14? SELL Yes 32¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $43 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14? SELL Yes 32¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 14? SELL Yes 32¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $22 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 1h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY United States 81¢ $33 1h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 14? SELL Yes 25¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13? SELL No 61¢ $15 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? SELL No 87¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 14? SELL Yes 20¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14? SELL Yes 28¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 502 -4.1% -13.2% 49% 23% -12.8%
≤30d 861 -1.0% -10.4% 50% 25% -11.3%
≤90d 861 -1.0% -10.4% 50% 25% -11.3%
all 861 -1.0% -10.4% 50% 25% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover241.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 25% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 15% -19.8%
15% -26.8% 10% -27.6%
20% -34.0% 6% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 3500 history records