Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe50c…2c92
crypto · 195 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$120 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$120 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$120
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses140 / 55
Open positions0
Markets (closed)195 / 195
History coverage7d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day55.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 195 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$120
14 days−$120
30 days−$120
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 74¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 82¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 77¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 90¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 66¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 76¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 68¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 71¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 73¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 62¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 59¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 69¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 65¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 73¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 87¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 73¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 75¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 66¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 81¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 73¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 74¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 84¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 72¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 74¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 82¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$120
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 -7.4% -16.2% 72% 69% -17.9%
≤30d 195 -7.4% -16.2% 72% 69% -17.9%
≤90d 195 -7.4% -16.2% 72% 69% -17.9%
all 195 -7.4% -16.2% 72% 69% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 69% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 47% -25.7%
15% -31.5% 17% -32.9%
20% -38.2% 3% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 423 history records