Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:55:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E5
0xe50a…c0f1
weather · 27 markets active 3h ago
0.0score
−$4 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY weather specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$84
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Open positions26
Markets (closed)1 / 27
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day16.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 26 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? Yes 25¢ 42¢ $5 $8 +$4 (+70%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14? Yes 38¢ 56¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+49%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16? Yes 41¢ 43¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16? Yes 35¢ 36¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15? Yes 42¢ 42¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16? Yes 27¢ 27¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16? Yes 32¢ 30¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16? Yes 41¢ 42¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 16? Yes 27¢ 20¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-28%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14? Yes 14¢ 48¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+239%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15? Yes 37¢ 25¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-32%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 16? Yes 26¢ 32¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+23%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 16? Yes 20¢ 18¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15? Yes 36¢ 41¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+14%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14? Yes 9¢ 20¢ $1 $3 +$1 (+117%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15? Yes 23¢ 36¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+59%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16? Yes 18¢ 11¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-39%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 15? Yes 26¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$1 (-23%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? Yes 43¢ 24¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-45%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 15? Yes 14¢ 8¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-43%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 16? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? Yes 8¢ 4¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-54%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16? Yes 12¢ 4¢ $2 $1 −$2 (-70%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 13? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16? BUY Yes 27¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16? BUY Yes 41¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 16? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16? BUY Yes 41¢ $4 2h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 16? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 16? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 16? BUY Yes 20¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 16? BUY Yes 35¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16? BUY Yes 15¢ $3 2h
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 2h
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16? BUY Yes 27¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 15? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 23h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15? BUY Yes 37¢ $5 23h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 15? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 23h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 15? BUY Yes 26¢ $2 25h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 42¢ $5 25h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 25h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15? BUY Yes 36¢ $2 25h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14? BUY Yes 38¢ $5 36h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 36h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 36h
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 43¢ $3 36h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 40h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 40h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $83.90 · official $83.72 (match) · 27 history records