Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:57:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe4f0…8774
crypto · 991 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$411 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$411 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$411
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses821 / 257
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1078 / 991
History coverage60d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day49.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 1078 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$260
7 days−$316
14 days−$307
30 days−$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-05-03? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04? Yes 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will PSV vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw? Yes 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-04? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will PSV vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Copenhagen Gaming Wee Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-03-15? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$4 -132%
XRP Up or Down - March 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-08? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$3 -146%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -90%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$160
other 3% −$2
sports 1% −$3
world 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 30m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $2 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 52m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 53m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 57m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 58m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-20.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 222 -43.9% -49.3% 46% 6% -26.3%
≤30d 613 -16.0% -24.0% 72% 14% -14.1%
≤90d 1078 -11.7% -20.1% 76% 15% -13.5%
all 1078 -11.7% -20.1% 76% 15% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.1% 15% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.7% 4% -21.8%
15% -34.7% 1% -29.3%
20% -41.1% 1% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records