trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 14% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -8.2% | -16.9% | 14% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -8.2% | -16.9% | 14% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 25 | -7.1% | -16.0% | 40% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -24.0% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $56 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 14 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 12 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 12 | $28 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 10 | $26 | −$2 | -8% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $68 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 08 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 07 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 20? | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Pres | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $99000 and $101000 on May 9? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump say "bigly" by March 28? | Mar 28 | $2 | −$1 | -77% |
| Will Trump post 160-179 times on Truth March 21-28? | Mar 25 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| 2025 March hottest on record? | Mar 24 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 23 | $13 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Ontario resume electricity surcharge to the U.S. by next Friday? | Mar 20 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 16 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 15 | $13 | $0 | +0% |