trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -29.9% | -36.6% | 39% | 39% | -4.2% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -26.9% | -33.9% | 42% | 42% | +6.7% |
| all | 24 | -26.9% | -33.9% | 42% | 42% | +6.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.9% | 42% | +6.7% |
| 10% | -40.2% | 38% | -3.5% |
| 15% | -46.0% | 38% | -12.8% |
| 20% | -51.3% | 17% | -21.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 24¢ | $218 | $317 | +$99 (+45%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 20¢ | $100 | $218 | +$118 (+118%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 13¢ | 10¢ | $200 | $159 | −$41 (-21%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 11¢ | $218 | $149 | −$69 (-32%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 6¢ | $200 | $117 | −$83 (-42%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 7¢ | $100 | $115 | +$15 (+15%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $77 | $76 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $100 | $71 | −$29 (-29%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 4¢ | $70 | $54 | −$16 (-23%) |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 5¢ | $50 | $38 | −$12 (-25%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $116 | $3 | −$113 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | Jun 29 | $81 | −$80 | -99% |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Jun 19 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | Jun 19 | $26 | −$25 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Jun 19 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Jun 19 | $25 | +$4 | +15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Jun 19 | $26 | +$12 | +46% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $24 | −$24 | -98% |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $50 | +$20 | +40% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 14 | $51 | +$96 | +187% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $101 | +$55 | +55% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $409 | +$102 | +25% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $102 | +$192 | +188% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $202 | +$88 | +44% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $1,020 | +$366 | +36% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 30 | $1,295 | +$531 | +41% |