Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:25:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe4c3…ad61
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$3 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$1
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day2.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Scotland leading at halftime? Yes 50¢ 44¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 +$3 +145%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 86% −$6
sports 14% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Scotland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 55m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 40¢ $2 19h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 41h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 90¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +18.4% +7.2% 67% 33% -2.5%
≤30d 3 +18.4% +7.2% 67% 33% -2.5%
≤90d 3 +18.4% +7.2% 67% 33% -2.5%
all 3 +18.4% +7.2% 67% 33% -2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +7.2% 33% -2.5%
10% -3.1% 33% -11.8%
15% -12.5% 33% -20.3%
20% -21.0% 33% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.18 · official $2.18 (match) · 7 history records