Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:47:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
E4 0xe4c2…38f5 crypto 96 markets active 2h ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$18 (+5%) realized +$18 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR34%break-even
Win rate97%90W / 3L
Drawdown20%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day13.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$25
14 days+$25
30 days+$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-2.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 +7.8% -2.4% 97% 35% -2.8%
≤30d 93 +7.8% -2.5% 97% 34% -2.8%
≤90d 93 +7.8% -2.5% 97% 34% -2.8%
all 93 +7.8% -2.5% 97% 34% -2.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.5% 34% -2.8%
10% -11.8% 9% -12.1%
15% -20.3% 4% -20.6%
20% -28.1% 1% -28.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
62% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +8% · $-wt +7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +9% → late +6% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×4.6 per $1 lost it wins $4.6
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses90 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)93 / 96
History coverage7d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day13.5
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 93 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 28 $40 +$6 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 28 $40 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 27 $41 +$2 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 27 $40 +$2 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 27 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 27 $5 +$3 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 26 $4 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 26 $4 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 26 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 25 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 24 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 24 $1 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $40 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $40 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $41 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $40 14h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 26h
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 31h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $4 33h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 34h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 35h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 36h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 36h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 37h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 37h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 37h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 39h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 39h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 39h
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 40h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 41h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 44h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 186 history records