trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 80% | 20% | -16.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 80% | 20% | -16.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 91% | 9% | -12.4% |
| all | 23 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 96% | 4% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.9% | 4% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 | Over | 94¢ | 94¢ | $122 | $121 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5 | Jun 22 | $110 | +$8 | +7% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $240 | −$129 | -54% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $228 | +$19 | +8% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $201 | +$24 | +12% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 27-May 3? | Jun 19 | $202 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 20-26? | Apr 30 | $203 | $0 | +0% |
| USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Apr 23 | $232 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 13-19? | Apr 21 | $232 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 April 6-12? | Apr 15 | $231 | +$1 | +0% |
| EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | Apr 08 | $230 | $0 | +0% |
| Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? | Mar 28 | $230 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? | Mar 18 | $230 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1? | Feb 06 | $228 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 27 | Jan 28 | $228 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25? | Jan 27 | $228 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 12-18? | Jan 25 | $225 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 5-11? | Jan 13 | $223 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 29-January 4? | Jan 06 | $223 | $0 | +0% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Jan 03 | $203 | +$20 | +10% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 December 8-14? | Dec 16 | $202 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 9 | Dec 11 | $202 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 December 1-7? | Dec 09 | $201 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 November 24-30? | Dec 03 | $200 | +$1 | +1% |