trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 33% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +7.9% | -2.4% | 64% | 9% | -8.2% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +7.9% | -2.3% | 67% | 8% | -8.1% |
| all | 24 | +2.4% | -7.4% | 67% | 4% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.4% | 4% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -16.2% | 4% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -24.3% | 4% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -31.7% | 4% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 19 | $43 | −$2 | -4% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 26 | $70 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 25 | $2 | +$2 | +79% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 25 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $43 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | May 24 | $62 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 23 | $31 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 20 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | May 20 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 20 | $5 | $0 | +8% |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 10 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jul 17 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Jun 24 | $8 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 23–30? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | Apr 18 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 16 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease? | Apr 13 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days? | Apr 12 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 11 | $8 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 23 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on March 4? | Mar 03 | $18 | −$8 | -46% |