Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:51:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe48a…80f8
sports · 210 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$50 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized+$42
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses100 / 109
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)209 / 210
History coverage209d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day2.7
Drawdown74%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 1 History 209 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$17
14 days−$18
30 days−$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Australia 41¢ 26¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals Jun 14 $5 +$5 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal Jun 14 $11 +$4 +34%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals Jun 14 $14 −$12 -84%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans Jun 14 $14 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Jun 13 $11 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +64%
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia Jun 11 $3 $0 +11%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $1 −$1 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 30 $1 +$1 +63%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $3 +$3 +107%
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League? May 27 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 25 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 25 $1 $0 +23%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings May 23 $6 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 22 $22 $0 -1%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans May 22 $4 −$1 -26%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants May 22 $11 $0 -2%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings - Who win May 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians May 20 $36 −$3 -8%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians - Who w May 20 $1 +$1 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 19 $1 +$1 +122%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 18 $7 $0 -3%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals May 17 $24 +$4 +15%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings May 15 $2 $0 -8%
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa May 15 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kings May 15 $2 $0 -14%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad May 15 $2 +$2 +114%
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1) May 15 $6 $0 -4%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings May 15 $2 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 World Cup: Ireland vs Zimbabwe (Game 1) - Completed match? May 15 $6 $0 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% +$29
crypto 9% −$7
other 7% +$17
politics 0% +$1
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 32¢ $1 30m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 44¢ $1 46m
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 48¢ $1 1h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia BUY Australia 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 2h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan SELL India 100¢ $13 14h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 76¢ $1 18h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 69¢ $1 19h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 75¢ $1 19h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 84¢ $5 19h
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan BUY India 91¢ $3 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $3 20h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland BUY Ireland 24¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 25h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Sri Lanka BUY Sri Lanka 12¢ $1 2d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Bangladesh 95¢ $3 2d
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia SELL Australia 25¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -24.3% -31.5% 45% 40% -27.9%
≤30d 39 -10.4% -18.9% 44% 41% -15.1%
≤90d 151 -13.4% -21.6% 38% 32% -15.7%
all 209 +1.9% -7.8% 48% 38% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.8% 38% -5.9%
10% -16.6% 33% -14.9%
15% -24.7% 28% -23.2%
20% -32.1% 25% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.56 · official $2.56 (match) · 640 history records