Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:44:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe485…5095
crypto · 66 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$56 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$56 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$56
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses40 / 25
Open positions1
Markets (closed)65 / 66
History coverage136d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day1.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 65 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Up 72¢ 70¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 6PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 9AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 12PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$8 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12PM ET Feb 24 $4 −$4 -89%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Feb 24 $3 −$2 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12PM ET Feb 24 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 6PM ET Feb 10 $11 −$4 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 5PM ET Feb 10 $13 −$10 -76%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 1PM ET Feb 10 $12 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 11AM ET Feb 10 $10 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 5AM ET Feb 10 $10 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10AM ET Feb 09 $7 +$3 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 10AM ET Feb 09 $7 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 9AM ET Feb 09 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9AM ET Feb 09 $19 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8AM ET Feb 09 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6AM ET Feb 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 7AM ET Feb 07 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6AM ET Feb 07 $45 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3AM ET Feb 07 $107 −$12 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1AM ET Feb 07 $53 −$14 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10AM ET Feb 06 $22 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9AM ET Feb 06 $18 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8AM ET Feb 06 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6AM ET Feb 06 $28 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4PM ET Feb 05 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1PM ET Feb 05 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11AM ET Feb 05 $26 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9AM ET Feb 05 $40 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8AM ET Feb 05 $17 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11AM ET Feb 04 $9 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10AM ET Feb 04 $24 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9AM ET Feb 04 $25 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7AM ET Feb 04 $22 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5AM ET Feb 04 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12PM ET Feb 03 $18 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11AM ET Feb 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10AM ET Feb 03 $15 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 9AM ET Feb 02 $23 −$6 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8AM ET Feb 02 $11 −$6 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7AM ET Feb 02 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 9AM ET Jan 30 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8AM ET Jan 30 $46 +$9 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $8 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET SELL Up 56¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 108d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $1 108d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 108d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 108d
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 108d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 108d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 -6.0% -14.9% 60% 60% -20.3%
≤30d 10 -6.0% -14.9% 60% 60% -20.3%
≤90d 10 -6.0% -14.9% 60% 60% -20.3%
all 65 -7.9% -16.6% 62% 46% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.6% 46% -13.6%
10% -24.6% 20% -21.9%
15% -31.9% 9% -29.4%
20% -38.6% 3% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.83 · official $7.83 (match) · 246 history records