Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:02:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe47e…f8ab
weather · 523 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$99 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$128 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$116
Realized+$128
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses377 / 145
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)522 / 523
History coverage104d
Avg bet$82
Trades / day33.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 522 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$57
7 days+$176
14 days+$119
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? Yes 95¢ 95¢ $116 $116 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $137 +$10 +8%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $125 +$13 +10%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? Jun 11 $59 +$26 +44%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11? Jun 11 $36 +$13 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 11? Jun 11 $55 +$13 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 10? Jun 10 $63 +$9 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 10? Jun 10 $17 +$2 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9? Jun 09 $16 +$3 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 9? Jun 09 $84 +$26 +31%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 8? Jun 08 $100 +$37 +36%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 7? Jun 07 $88 +$29 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 7? Jun 07 $33 +$13 +40%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4? Jun 04 $77 −$77 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 4? Jun 04 $63 −$63 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 3? Jun 03 $110 +$13 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2? Jun 02 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 2? Jun 02 $181 +$22 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on June 1? Jun 01 $66 +$9 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 1? May 31 $80 +$22 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 31? May 31 $217 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 31? May 31 $108 −$8 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 31? May 31 $27 +$4 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 30? May 30 $162 +$35 +22%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 30? May 30 $120 +$2 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 28? May 28 $114 −$8 -7%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 28? May 28 $72 −$3 -5%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 28? May 28 $70 +$28 +40%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 27? May 27 $3 +$18 +600%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 27? May 27 $87 +$13 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 27? May 27 $21 −$16 -78%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 27? May 27 $108 −$84 -78%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 27? May 27 $81 +$20 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 26? May 26 $42 +$19 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 25? May 26 $52 −$16 -32%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 26? May 26 $91 +$14 +15%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 25? May 25 $4 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25? May 25 $13 +$3 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 25? May 25 $88 −$83 -94%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 25? May 25 $43 −$38 -90%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 25? May 25 $91 +$5 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 25? May 25 $178 −$26 -14%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 25? May 25 $59 −$11 -18%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 23? May 25 $64 −$31 -48%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 24? May 25 $19 −$19 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on May 23? May 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 23? May 25 $200 −$148 -74%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 24? May 24 $76 +$4 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May May 24 $112 +$10 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 24? May 24 $62 +$15 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$143
crypto 0% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 96¢ $7 23m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 95¢ $110 24m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? SELL Yes 58¢ $70 40m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 81¢ $38 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 81¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 81¢ $13 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? BUY Yes 81¢ $38 1h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $148 6h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 7h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? BUY Yes 95¢ $22 9h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $22 9h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? BUY Yes 92¢ $115 10h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? SELL Yes 100¢ $115 11h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? BUY Yes 92¢ $25 13h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $9 13h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $1 13h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? BUY Yes 90¢ $83 13h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? BUY Yes 88¢ $6 13h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 14h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12? BUY Yes 27¢ $4 14h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12? BUY Yes 28¢ $2 14h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 12? BUY Yes 33¢ $11 15h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $85 26h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? BUY Yes 79¢ $8 33h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 11? SELL Yes 100¢ $49 34h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? BUY Yes 68¢ $3 34h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? BUY Yes 68¢ $4 34h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? BUY Yes 67¢ $4 34h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? BUY Yes 67¢ $3 34h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 11? BUY Yes 68¢ $18 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +16.0% +5.0% 92% 77% +9.6%
≤30d 116 +6.5% -3.7% 73% 48% -10.0%
≤90d 436 +2.8% -7.0% 73% 42% -9.2%
all 522 +2.8% -7.0% 72% 41% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 41% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 24% -17.9%
15% -24.0% 13% -25.9%
20% -31.5% 7% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $116.28 · official $116.28 (match) · 3500 history records