trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +1.4% | -8.2% | 67% | 0% | -8.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 50% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +19.9% | +8.5% | 50% | 10% | -8.7% |
| all | 27 | +7.7% | -2.6% | 48% | 11% | -8.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.6% | 11% | -8.3% |
| 10% | -11.9% | 11% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -20.4% | 7% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -28.2% | 4% | -32.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 13¢ | 14¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 24 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 24 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 23 | $39 | +$1 | +3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 27 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 24 | $64 | +$1 | +2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 21 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 21 | $1 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 26 | $14 | −$1 | -8% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will André Ventura be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 20 | May 21 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | May 16 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | May 15 | $9 | +$5 | +48% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | Apr 21 | $12 | $0 | -4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $76000 on Apr 18? | Apr 17 | $8 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Solana reach $170 in April? | Apr 17 | $3 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18? | Apr 15 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more? | Apr 15 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 15 | $12 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? | Apr 07 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 06 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration? | Apr 03 | $2 | −$1 | -60% |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Mar 21 | $11 | $0 | -0% |