Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:04:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe46c…e93a
crypto · 1239 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$27,211 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27,211 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$27,211
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses968 / 271
Whale WR (big bets)85%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1239 / 1239
History coverage133d
Avg bet$352
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1239 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$204
7 days+$95
14 days+$10
30 days−$1,436
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $528 $0 −$528 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $575 $0 −$575 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $235 $0 −$235 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $298 $0 −$298 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? Yes 86¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $373 $0 −$373 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1,299 $0 −$1,299 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $211 $0 −$211 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $279 +$15 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $250 +$29 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $225 +$26 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $284 −$60 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $277 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $254 +$25 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $248 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $214 +$32 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $199 +$17 +9%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $145 +$105 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$22 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $119 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 11 $112 +$8 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $91 +$21 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$19 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $19 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $17 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $17 −$6 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 06 $165 −$91 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 06 $90 +$10 +11%
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 05 $89 +$12 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 03 $403 −$110 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 03 $231 +$44 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 03 $198 +$33 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 03 $181 +$29 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 02 $143 +$37 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 02 $114 +$30 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 02 $50 −$25 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 01 $65 −$51 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET May 31 $51 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET May 27 $89 −$88 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 27 $68 +$22 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 27 $55 +$13 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 27 $375 −$373 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 27 $670 −$294 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET May 27 $435 −$432 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET May 27 $408 +$27 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET May 27 $365 +$43 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET May 27 $362 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET May 27 $336 +$27 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET May 27 $319 +$16 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET May 26 $291 +$20 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET May 26 $302 +$20 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET May 26 $945 +$37 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET May 26 $922 +$25 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 26 $855 +$69 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET May 26 $808 +$45 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$26,830
other 0% −$323
sports 0% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $279 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $250 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $225 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $225 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $284 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $277 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $254 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $252 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $248 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $214 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $199 17h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $51 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $250 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $145 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $123 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $123 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $119 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $112 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $112 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $91 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $20 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $19 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $17 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $14 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $17 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $8 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -3.4% -12.6% 76% 38% -6.5%
≤30d 153 -9.6% -18.3% 74% 36% -13.1%
≤90d 880 -6.3% -15.2% 78% 38% -13.0%
all 1239 -4.2% -13.3% 78% 41% -15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 41% -15.0%
10% -21.6% 18% -23.1%
15% -29.2% 10% -30.5%
20% -36.1% 5% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2804 history records