trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +27.7% | +15.5% | 100% | 100% | +14.8% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +20.1% | +8.7% | 86% | 71% | -1.0% |
| ≤90d | 54 | -14.8% | -23.0% | 61% | 43% | -16.1% |
| all | 72 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 58% | 42% | -14.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.4% | 42% | -14.3% |
| 10% | -28.0% | 29% | -22.5% |
| 15% | -35.0% | 22% | -30.0% |
| 20% | -41.3% | 11% | -36.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Yes | 83¢ | 98¢ | $11 | $13 | +$2 (+19%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $14 | +$3 | +20% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | Jun 11 | $10 | +$5 | +51% |
| Spread: Knicks (-9.5) | Jun 09 | $17 | +$6 | +38% |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | Jun 06 | $11 | +$6 | +53% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $8 | +$3 | +38% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $5 | −$1 | -21% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| New York Yankees vs. Athletics | May 30 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | May 29 | $1 | +$1 | +78% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $6 | +$1 | +22% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 25 | $4 | +$2 | +38% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 24 | $3 | +$1 | +29% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 24 | $20 | −$17 | -83% |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) | May 18 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5) | May 16 | $19 | +$7 | +36% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? | May 14 | $7 | −$7 | -96% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 13 | $22 | +$5 | +22% |
| Spread: Thunder (-10.5) | May 12 | $22 | −$21 | -98% |
| New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles | May 12 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | May 11 | $17 | +$5 | +30% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 11 | $26 | +$11 | +43% |
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks | May 09 | $40 | +$3 | +7% |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) | May 06 | $40 | −$40 | -99% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6? | May 06 | $39 | +$3 | +6% |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) | May 03 | $22 | +$20 | +90% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | May 02 | $11 | +$2 | +17% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 26 | $18 | +$9 | +50% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 23 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Apr 23 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 21 | $21 | −$21 | -98% |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | Apr 19 | $92 | +$1 | +1% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 19 | $65 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 19 | $29 | +$91 | +311% |
| Rangers vs. Panthers | Apr 13 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Apr 12 | $44 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils | Apr 12 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Apr 11 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5) | Apr 11 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Apr 11 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Apr 11 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 10 | $9 | −$8 | -95% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 09 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Apr 04 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Rockets vs. Pelicans | Mar 30 | $136 | +$5 | +4% |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Mar 30 | $128 | +$9 | +7% |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Mar 28 | $20 | +$10 | +51% |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies | Mar 28 | $40 | +$17 | +42% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines | Mar 28 | $30 | +$5 | +16% |