trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +6.3% | -3.8% | 60% | 60% | +8.6% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 50% | 50% | +1.0% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 50% | 50% | +1.0% |
| all | 18 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 50% | 50% | +1.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.5% | 50% | +1.0% |
| 10% | -19.0% | 39% | -8.6% |
| 15% | -26.9% | 28% | -17.5% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 11% | -25.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 3+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 84¢ | 82¢ | $210 | $206 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $160 | $162 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $43 | $49 | +$6 (+14%) |
| Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 45¢ | 46¢ | $21 | $22 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 68¢ | 78¢ | $12 | $14 | +$2 (+15%) |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 68¢ | 78¢ | $10 | $12 | +$2 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Jun 23 | $1 | $0 | +38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Jun 23 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -67% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | Jun 23 | $6 | +$1 | +12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | Jun 23 | $1 | +$1 | +105% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Jun 23 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | Jun 23 | $1 | +$1 | +86% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Jun 23 | $2 | +$1 | +28% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Jun 23 | $1 | −$1 | -82% |
| Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $29 | +$9 | +32% |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $10 | +$4 | +36% |
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 21 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Jun 18 | $2 | −$1 | -36% |
| World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | Jun 17 | $13 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | Jun 14 | $6 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Jun 14 | $11 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |