trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -1.1% | -10.6% | 0% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 18% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 18% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 26 | +2.5% | -7.2% | 31% | 8% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.2% | 8% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 8% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 8% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 89¢ | $40 | $40 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $26 | −$1 | -3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 18 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 05 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 04 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $44 | +$1 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $42 | −$2 | -4% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the electio | Jul 05 | $0 | $0 | +50% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 26 | $12 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? | May 21 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese leg | May 20 | $11 | +$1 | +5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | May 17 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | May 15 | $9 | +$4 | +48% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 19 | $9 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 19 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 17 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 08 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 24 | $13 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $91000 and $93000 on Mar 14? | Mar 10 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 09 | $13 | $0 | -0% |