Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:59:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe424…d6e3
sports · 98 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$244 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$219 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$152
Realized−$219
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses11 / 82
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions5
Markets (closed)93 / 98
History coverage48d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64
7 days−$64
14 days−$102
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $140 $132 −$8 (-5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $33 $14 −$18 (-56%)
Will the fight be won by submission? Yes 17¢ 19¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+12%)
Will Ciryl Gane win by KO or TKO? Yes 27¢ 25¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-57%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 10? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $21 −$4 -18%
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 10? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Knicks vs. 76ers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? Jun 12 $101 −$5 -5%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $94 −$1 -2%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 11 $54 −$3 -5%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? Jun 04 $165 −$38 -23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9? May 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10? May 09 $28 −$19 -68%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 7? May 09 $168 −$31 -19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8? May 09 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 8? May 09 $18 −$18 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8? May 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt? May 08 $11 −$2 -15%
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6? May 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6? May 08 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 7? May 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 6? May 08 $39 −$39 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs May 08 $5 −$5 -100%
76ers vs. Knicks May 08 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 6? May 08 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on May 7? May 07 $9 −$6 -70%
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) May 07 $19 −$2 -10%
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC? May 07 $8 −$8 -100%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score May 06 $25 +$30 +123%
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? May 06 $23 +$101 +437%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3? May 06 $12 +$3 +28%
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 3? May 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Spurs May 06 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3? May 06 $20 +$94 +477%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers May 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 5? May 06 $36 −$31 -86%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4? May 06 $10 −$2 -26%
Lakers vs. Thunder May 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons May 06 $5 −$5 -100%
76ers vs. Knicks May 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 4? May 06 $52 +$37 +72%
76ers vs. Celtics May 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score May 05 $42 −$1 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5? May 05 $23 −$8 -36%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 4? May 04 $28 −$2 -6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 3? May 03 $7 −$5 -68%
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyuk May 03 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% −$235
sports 34% +$19
world 2% −$21
other 1% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $7 23m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 2h
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? SELL Yes 11¢ $7 2h
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? SELL Yes 4¢ $32 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? SELL Yes 4¢ $27 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 4¢ $21 4h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 4¢ $21 4h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 4¢ $23 4h
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 11¢ $7 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6h
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? BUY Yes 11¢ $6 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $8 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $4 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-45.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 -66.3% -69.5% 0% 0% -27.6%
≤30d 12 -62.7% -66.3% 0% 0% -28.5%
≤90d 93 -39.2% -45.0% 12% 11% -22.8%
all 93 -39.2% -45.0% 12% 11% -22.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -45.0% 11% -22.8%
10% -50.2% 11% -30.2%
15% -55.0% 9% -37.0%
20% -59.4% 8% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $152.36 · official $152.36 (match) · 789 history records