trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | Jun 13 | $5 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 12 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$2 | +165% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -37.9% | -43.8% | 38% | 38% | -59.3% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -37.9% | -43.8% | 38% | 38% | -59.3% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -37.9% | -43.8% | 38% | 38% | -59.3% |
| all | 8 | -37.9% | -43.8% | 38% | 38% | -59.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -43.8% | 38% | -59.3% |
| 10% | -49.2% | 12% | -63.2% |
| 15% | -54.1% | 12% | -66.7% |
| 20% | -58.6% | 12% | -70.0% |