Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:02:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe416…d04e
crypto · 68 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$11 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses47 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)68 / 68
History coverage140d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day0.8
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 0 History 68 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% +$19
other 17% +$11
sports 4% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $0 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $0 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 51m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +3.1% -6.7% 68% 68% -12.2%
≤30d 65 +3.1% -6.7% 68% 68% -12.2%
≤90d 65 +3.1% -6.7% 68% 68% -12.2%
all 68 +9.0% -1.4% 69% 69% -0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.4% 69% -0.3%
10% -10.8% 69% -9.8%
15% -19.5% 62% -18.5%
20% -27.4% 46% -26.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 138 history records