Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe40e…9770
sports · 54 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26,264 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22,715 · open −$3,550
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$113,437
Realized−$22,715
Unrealized−$3,550
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses32 / 32
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$11,637
Open positions5
Markets (closed)64 / 54
History coverage10d
Avg bet$17,583
Trades / day360.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$260,683
7 days−$117,692
14 days−$22,715
30 days−$22,715
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 90¢ 90¢ $39,239 $39,457 +$218 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 55¢ 70¢ $27,499 $35,249 +$7,750 (+28%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 53¢ 30¢ $26,500 $14,750 −$11,750 (-44%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 86¢ 86¢ $14,148 $14,230 +$82 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 32¢ 32¢ $9,600 $9,750 +$150 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 46¢ 0¢ $12,131 $0 −$12,131 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs AM Gaming 39¢ 0¢ $3,900 $0 −$3,900 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs Gentle Mates 50¢ 0¢ $4,541 $0 −$4,541 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 40¢ 0¢ $19,771 $0 −$19,771 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 M80 39¢ 0¢ $33,930 $0 −$33,930 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffs Voca 25¢ 0¢ $892 $0 −$892 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 9z 47¢ 0¢ $23,745 $0 −$23,745 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) FUT Esports 23¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Alliance 57¢ 0¢ $6,849 $0 −$6,849 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BetBoom Team 27¢ 0¢ $3,241 $0 −$3,241 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner Gentle Mates 55¢ 0¢ $457 $0 −$457 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs FOKUS 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs magic 52¢ 0¢ $17,595 $0 −$17,595 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs 100 Thieves 51¢ 0¢ $16,052 $0 −$16,052 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 50¢ 0¢ $25,000 $0 −$25,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 63¢ 0¢ $2,676 $0 −$2,676 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 TYLOO 47¢ 0¢ $32,699 $0 −$32,699 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 44¢ 0¢ $17,600 $0 −$17,600 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sinners 56¢ 0¢ $17,352 $0 −$17,352 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Heroic 62¢ 0¢ $18,550 $0 −$18,550 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters E Jun 12 $4,541 −$4,541 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 12 $19,771 −$19,771 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North Americ Jun 12 $892 −$892 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 12 $23,745 −$23,745 -100%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Play Jun 12 $6,849 −$6,849 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $457 −$457 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe S Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 12 $17,595 −$17,595 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Eu Jun 12 $16,052 −$16,052 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $32,699 −$32,699 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $17,352 −$17,352 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $18,550 −$18,550 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $16,862 −$16,862 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $37,016 −$37,016 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 12 $22,000 −$22,000 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10,200 −$10,200 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $35,700 −$900 -2%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $24,900 +$5,100 +20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13,800 +$16,200 +117%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $17,600 −$17,600 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $11,100 −$11,100 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $7,800 −$7,800 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $11,482 +$8,518 +74%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $21,599 +$8,400 +39%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $16,200 +$13,800 +85%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) Jun 08 $14,324 +$15,676 +109%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $31,013 +$8,987 +29%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $22,077 +$7,923 +36%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $14,145 +$11,460 +81%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $19,375 +$20,625 +106%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 07 $6,568 +$3,432 +52%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $19,599 +$2,439 +12%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 07 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15,525 +$14,475 +93%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $9,900 −$9,900 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $2,684 −$2,676 -100%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $12,132 −$12,131 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1,842 +$460 +25%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $12,760 +$7,239 +57%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $36,000 +$24,000 +67%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $27,896 +$16,784 +60%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $4,999 +$4,598 +92%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $3,247 −$3,241 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $21,052 +$8,948 +42%
Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5) Jun 05 $6,901 −$6,803 -99%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $39,698 +$43,621 +110%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $20,727 +$15,507 +75%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $11,090 +$275 +2%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $24,058 +$5,942 +25%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playof Jun 04 $7,000 +$3,000 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$208,119
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 90¢ $9 1m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $81 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $7 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $20 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $1,958 7m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $10 7m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 90¢ $101 10m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 90¢ $27 10m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $7 17m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $67 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $8 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $16 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $1,625 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $16 34m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $74 36m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $17 37m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $1,743 37m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $9 37m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 90¢ $18 38m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 90¢ $9 38m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $11 41m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $77 52m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $9 52m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $18 52m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $1,813 52m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $608 53m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $86 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $51 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -29.0% -35.7% 42% 42% -25.0%
≤30d 64 -17.4% -25.2% 50% 48% -11.5%
≤90d 64 -17.4% -25.2% 50% 48% -11.5%
all 64 -17.4% -25.2% 50% 48% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover360.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.2% 48% -11.5%
10% -32.4% 44% -19.9%
15% ← realistic here -38.9% 36% -27.7%
20% -44.9% 30% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $113,436.70 · official $113,436.70 (match) · 3500 history records