Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E4
0xe40b…9ab4
sports · 73 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$43 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses36 / 37
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)73 / 73
History coverage43d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 0 History 73 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$25
14 days−$28
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? No 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07? No 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
US Cremonese vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 Under 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13? No 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Botafogo FR vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5 Under 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? No 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $151 −$18 -12%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $20 +$4 +20%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $253 −$41 -16%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $20 +$1 +7%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $11 −$2 -20%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $26 $0 -1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $94 +$29 +31%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $151 +$7 +5%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $6 +$1 +12%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $9 +$2 +19%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $2 $0 +9%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $2 $0 +3%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $3 $0 +0%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31? May 31 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $4 $0 -6%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 May 30 $6 $0 +5%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $16 +$1 +4%
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5 May 26 $9 $0 +3%
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-05-25? May 26 $0 $0 +11%
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5 May 26 $1 $0 +2%
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $1 −$1 -97%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 May 20 $3 −$1 -31%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 May 19 $2 $0 +7%
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 May 19 $2 $0 +9%
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5 May 18 $1 $0 +14%
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 0.5 May 18 $1 −$1 -93%
Botafogo FR vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5 May 17 $1 $0 -97%
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $2 $0 -20%
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 0.5 May 17 $1 $0 -3%
Casa Pia AC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5 May 16 $15 $0 +0%
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $3 $0 -5%
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 May 15 $1 $0 +13%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? May 15 $4 −$2 -62%
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5 May 15 $1 $0 +6%
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Botafogo FR: O/U 2.5 May 14 $2 $0 +7%
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5 May 13 $4 $0 +4%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $6 −$1 -18%
Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5 May 13 $4 −$2 -60%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5 May 12 $1 +$4 +257%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% −$51
sports 37% +$6
crypto 1% +$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 45¢ $50 19m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $50 21m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 33¢ $31 44m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 33¢ $3 44m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 48¢ $50 44m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 47¢ $48 53m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 48¢ $51 54m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 17¢ $1 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 17¢ $1 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 17¢ $1 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $24 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 15¢ $1 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 16¢ $1 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 17¢ $1 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 83¢ $20 3h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw SELL Daniel Galan 63¢ $4 5h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw SELL Daniel Galan 63¢ $1 5h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw BUY Daniel Galan 63¢ $5 5h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 20h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 20h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 27¢ $5 20h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 26¢ $5 20h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 10¢ $25 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 74¢ $188 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 75¢ $192 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 23¢ $31 21h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 24¢ $31 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 52¢ $0 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 52¢ $21 21h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)+3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +70.4% +54.1% 54% 21% -12.4%
≤30d 45 +26.3% +14.2% 53% 18% -13.0%
≤90d 73 +14.0% +3.1% 49% 14% -13.5%
all 73 +14.0% +3.1% 49% 14% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.1% 14% -13.5%
10% -6.7% 7% -21.7%
15% -15.8% 4% -29.3%
20% -24.0% 3% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 334 history records