trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +42.6% | +29.0% | 100% | 60% | +28.3% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +42.6% | +29.0% | 100% | 60% | +28.3% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +14.3% | +3.4% | 88% | 38% | -5.1% |
| all | 8 | +14.3% | +3.4% | 88% | 38% | -5.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.4% | 38% | -5.1% |
| 10% | -6.5% | 38% | -14.2% |
| 15% | -15.5% | 38% | -22.5% |
| 20% | -23.8% | 12% | -30.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | No | 27¢ | 27¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 15 | $4 | +$2 | +41% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +133% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | Apr 11 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 02 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Mar 26 | $6 | $0 | +0% |