Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:21:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe3f0…112e
sports · 199 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$48 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$140
Realized+$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses163 / 8
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions28
Markets (closed)171 / 199
History coverage4d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day57.3
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 28 History 171 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$48
14 days+$48
30 days+$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? No 90¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 12? No 90¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Under 90¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? No 90¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? No 90¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+11%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? No 90¢ 99¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+10%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? No 90¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? No 90¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 14? No 89¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+10%)
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? No 90¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? No 90¢ 98¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? No 90¢ 97¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14? No 90¢ 97¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 90¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? No 90¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? No 90¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 90¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? No 90¢ 93¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? No 90¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? No 90¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? No 90¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 90¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? No 90¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? No 90¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $4 $0 +11%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 12? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Spread: United States (-2.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Will Kimbal Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's Jun 13 $5 $0 +11%
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' Jun 13 $5 $0 +11%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% +$32
crypto 17% +$14
other 13% +$1
world 5% +$4
weather 4% −$4
finance 4% −$2
tech 2% +$2
politics 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $6 29m
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $5 29m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 90¢ $4 35m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $5 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 1h
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5) BUY Athletics 90¢ $5 1h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 90¢ $5 1h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5) BUY Tampa Bay Rays 90¢ $5 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 90¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $5 1h
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 89¢ $5 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 1h
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 90¢ $5 1h
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 90¢ $5 2h
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) BUY Kansas City Royals 90¢ $5 2h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 90¢ $5 2h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 90¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $5 2h
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 90¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +80%
net ROI/market (all)-4.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 171 +5.7% -4.4% 95% 80% -4.4%
≤30d 171 +5.7% -4.4% 95% 80% -4.4%
≤90d 171 +5.7% -4.4% 95% 80% -4.4%
all 171 +5.7% -4.4% 95% 80% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.4% 80% -4.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.5% 0% -13.6%
15% -21.9% 0% -21.9%
20% -29.6% 0% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $140.03 · official $140.01 (match) · 365 history records