Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:32:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe3ef…960b
world · 42 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$14 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized+$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses2 / 31
Open positions10
Markets (closed)33 / 42
History coverage15d
Avg bet$284
Trades / day231.0
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 10 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$5
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No 94¢ 94¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-0%)
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 95¢ 95¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 94¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No 98¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? No 98¢ 99¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No 97¢ 97¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 97¢ 97¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-0%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 84¢ 84¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-1%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 75¢ 76¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 13 $0 −$1 -244%
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Jun 13 $17 $0 -0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 13 $31 $0 -0%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Jun 12 $12 $0 -0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Jun 12 $79 $0 -0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 12 $36 $0 -0%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Iran coup attempt by June 30? Jun 12 $54 $0 -0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 11 $60 $0 -0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $24 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $6 $0 -0%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats Jun 10 $43 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $6 $0 -0%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 09 $6 $0 -0%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Jun 08 $8 +$7 +88%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 08 $118 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 06 $13 $0 +1%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 06 $6 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? Jun 06 $64 $0 -0%
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Jun 04 $142 $0 -0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Jun 03 $15 $0 -0%
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? Jun 02 $24 $0 -0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 31 $246 $0 -0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 30 $64 $0 -0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? May 30 $55 $0 -0%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? May 30 $16 $0 -0%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? May 30 $16 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? May 29 $8 $0 -0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 29 $8 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 70% +$5
politics 24% $0
other 5% $0
finance 1% $0
tech 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $5 6m
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $5 6m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $5 19m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 20m
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $5 32m
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $5 32m
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $5 49m
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $5 49m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $5 57m
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 57m
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? SELL No 95¢ $5 1h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? BUY No 95¢ $5 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 84¢ $5 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 84¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 1h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 84¢ $5 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 84¢ $5 1h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 93¢ $5 2h
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $5 2h
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $5 2h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? SELL No 95¢ $5 2h
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? BUY No 95¢ $5 2h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? SELL No 97¢ $5 2h
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 97¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -0.7% -10.2% 9% 4% -8.7%
≤30d 33 -3.6% -12.8% 6% 3% -9.1%
≤90d 33 -3.6% -12.8% 6% 3% -9.1%
all 33 -3.6% -12.8% 6% 3% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover231.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 3% -9.1%
10% ← realistic here -21.1% 3% -17.8%
15% -28.7% 3% -25.7%
20% -35.7% 3% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.14 · official $15.71 · 3500 history records