Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:58:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe3e3…a864
other · 6 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses1 / 1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)2 / 6
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day3.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 4 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $7 +$3 +42%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 1h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $3 46h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $7 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-36.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -29.2% -36.0% 50% 50% -10.1%
≤30d 2 -29.2% -36.0% 50% 50% -10.1%
≤90d 2 -29.2% -36.0% 50% 50% -10.1%
all 2 -29.2% -36.0% 50% 50% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.0% 50% -10.1%
10% -42.1% 50% -18.7%
15% -47.7% 50% -26.5%
20% -52.8% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.83 · official $9.83 (match) · 7 history records