trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5 | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 | Over | 49¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 17.5 | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$11 | +106% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $8 | +$10 | +129% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $5 | +$3 | +65% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $3 | +$2 | +65% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 | May 24 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 | May 23 | $5 | +$4 | +86% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13? | May 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $5 | +$3 | +64% |
| LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5 | May 09 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 11.5 | May 09 | $2 | +$2 | +95% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 08 | $14 | +$2 | +14% |
| FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score | May 06 | $8 | +$2 | +29% |
| Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5 | May 05 | $9 | +$1 | +14% |
| Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5 | May 03 | $2 | +$1 | +68% |
| Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 17.5 | May 01 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30? | Apr 30 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30? | Apr 30 | $2 | +$1 | +58% |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 | Apr 29 | $8 | +$1 | +10% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score | Apr 28 | $1 | $0 | +35% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 28 | $6 | +$1 | +21% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5 | Apr 27 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | Apr 26 | $2 | +$2 | +88% |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26? | Apr 26 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 25 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +105.5% | +85.9% | 100% | 100% | +85.9% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +35.7% | +22.7% | 71% | 71% | +21.3% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +6.0% | -4.1% | 69% | 58% | +3.9% |
| all | 26 | +6.0% | -4.1% | 69% | 58% | +3.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.1% | 58% | +3.9% |
| 10% | -13.3% | 46% | -6.0% |
| 15% | -21.7% | 42% | -15.1% |
| 20% | -29.3% | 38% | -23.4% |