Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:33:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe3da…0088
crypto · 976 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,095 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,086 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,086
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses359 / 615
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)974 / 976
History coverage514d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 2 History 974 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$73
7 days−$73
14 days−$358
30 days−$833
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-99%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Nets vs. Knicks Nets 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 Under 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Hornets Bucks 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-29? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Yes 42¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Garrick Higgo win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$28 +177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$4 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 31 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 31 $45 −$37 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 31 $10 −$9 -94%
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? May 31 $101 −$18 -18%
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? May 31 $41 −$15 -37%
Will Mac Meissner win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? May 31 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? May 31 $10 −$9 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET May 31 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET May 31 $13 −$4 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET May 31 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +119%
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? May 31 $62 −$60 -97%
Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? May 31 $5 −$4 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $88 −$86 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5 May 30 $5 −$5 -97%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 May 30 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Garrick Higgo win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? May 29 $36 −$35 -97%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? May 24 $151 −$116 -77%
Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? May 24 $10 $0 +0%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? May 24 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $1 +$2 +195%
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $36 −$21 -58%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? May 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $7 +$7 +95%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $5 +$3 +62%
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? May 24 $5 +$6 +114%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -96%
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson? May 22 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 19 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 19 $13 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 19 $3 +$2 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 19 $16 −$15 -95%
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? May 19 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? May 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $39 −$8 -21%
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $84 −$82 -97%
Will Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $10 $0 +4%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 17 $63 −$60 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% −$1,204
other 18% −$601
sports 17% −$201
politics 3% −$99
tech 1% +$29
culture 0% −$18
world 0% −$7
finance 0% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-24.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -56.0% -60.2% 14% 14% -65.5%
≤30d 54 -64.0% -67.5% 17% 13% -83.7%
≤90d 487 -58.0% -62.0% 19% 17% -61.6%
all 974 -16.3% -24.3% 37% 35% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.3% 35% -23.4%
10% -31.5% 33% -30.7%
15% -38.2% 31% -37.4%
20% -44.2% 26% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.16 · official $0.16 (match) · 3500 history records