Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T13:36:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E3 0xe3d7…7e67 sports 454 markets active 2h ago coverage 148d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$65 (-2%) realized −$65 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR15%break-even
Win rate54%243W / 211L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day6.8pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit67%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$45
14 days+$69
30 days+$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 76% −$59
other 23% −$10
politics 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 +3.8% -6.1% 97% 14% -4.6%
≤30d 115 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 17% -5.1%
≤90d 115 +4.4% -5.5% 96% 17% -5.1%
all 454 -5.6% -14.6% 54% 15% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.6% 15% -11.4%
10% -22.8% 7% -19.9%
15% -30.3% 4% -27.6%
20% -37.1% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
72% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -10% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.63 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.75 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

148d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$65
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses243 / 211
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)454 / 454
History coverage148d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 454 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Rzeszow: Jim Hendrikx vs Jan Wygona Jun 24 $5 $0 +4%
ITF Monastir: Lenka Munzarova vs Elena Jamshidi Jun 24 $40 +$2 +5%
ITF Gdansk: Daria Kuczer vs Elena Malygina Jun 24 $40 +$3 +7%
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 24 $40 +$3 +6%
ITF Taipei: Aishi Das vs Ikumi Yamazaki Jun 24 $5 $0 +6%
ITF Palma Del Rio: Meritxell Teixido Garcia vs Sabine Rutlauka Jun 24 $40 +$3 +7%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Vendula Valdmannov Jun 23 $43 +$5 +12%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sayaka Ishii Jun 23 $13 $0 +1%
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katarzyna Kawa vs Susan Bandecchi Jun 23 $44 +$2 +5%
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 23 $40 +$2 +5%
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskova Jun 23 $40 +$2 +5%
ITF Bakio: Joan Torres Espinosa vs Alejandro Arcila Jun 23 $41 +$6 +16%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munar Jun 23 $40 +$2 +5%
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 22 $40 +$2 +5%
ITF Irvine: Alina Shcherbinina vs Monika Ekstrand Jun 21 $41 +$2 +4%
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-21? Jun 21 $5 $0 +8%
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Ayla Aksu Jun 21 $40 +$2 +5%
ITF San Gregorio: Gabriela Ce vs Beatrise Zeltina Jun 21 $40 +$2 +4%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Masamichi Imamura Jun 21 $41 +$3 +7%
ITF Zhengzhou: Evialina Laskevich vs Jiaqi Wang Jun 21 $40 +$2 +5%
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Toby Samuel vs Quentin Halys Jun 20 $10 +$1 +5%
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Tamara Korpatsc Jun 20 $9 +$1 +6%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $10 +$2 +20%
ITF Taipei: Dayeon Back vs Hiromi Abe Jun 20 $10 $0 +5%
ITF Zhengzhou: Evialina Laskevich vs Chenting Zhu Jun 20 $10 $0 +5%
Poznan: Dalibor Svrcina vs Gustavo Heide Jun 19 $10 −$10 -100%
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Paula Badosa Jun 19 $10 +$1 +5%
ITF Ystad: Lea Nilsson vs Linea Bajraliu Jun 19 $10 $0 +5%
ITF Bolszewo: Julie Pastikova vs Weronika Ewald Jun 19 $9 +$1 +7%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? Jun 18 $10 +$1 +9%
Figueira Da Foz: Jeline Vandromme vs Valentina Ryser Jun 18 $10 +$1 +11%
ITF Bourg-En-Bresse: Filiberto Fumagalli vs Seydina Andre Jun 18 $9 +$1 +11%
ITF Taipei: Yuno Kitahara vs Fang An Lin Jun 18 $10 +$1 +7%
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakova Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
ITF Kayseri: Felix Roussel vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Jun 17 $10 +$1 +10%
ITF Bucharest: Ilinca Sagmar vs Laura Brunkel Jun 17 $10 +$1 +11%
ITF Maanshan: Duckhee Lee vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 17 $10 +$1 +8%
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $10 +$1 +13%
Criollos de Caguas vs. Gigantes de Carolina Jun 17 $10 $0 +5%
ITF Irvine: Maria Aytoyan vs Caroline Driscoll Jun 17 $9 +$1 +7%
Figueira Da Foz: Alina Korneeva vs Fangran Tian Jun 16 $10 +$1 +6%
Grass Court Championships: Katerina Siniakova vs Rebeka Masarova Jun 16 $10 +$1 +5%
ITF Blois: Amandine Hesse vs Jasmijn Gimbrere Jun 16 $10 $0 +4%
ITF Zhengzhou: JiaYi Wang vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva Jun 16 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Tauste: Viola Turini vs Sabine Rutlauka Jun 16 $10 $0 +5%
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Laurent Lokoli Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Poznan: Facundo Acosta vs Franco Roncadelli Jun 15 $10 $0 +5%
Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $10 +$2 +21%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $10 +$1 +14%
ITF Kayseri: Ilay Yoruk vs Lan Mi Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Rzeszow: Jim Hendrikx vs Jan Wygona BUY Jim Hendrikx 96¢ $5 1h
ITF Monastir: Lenka Munzarova vs Elena Jamshidi BUY Lenka Munzarova 95¢ $40 1h
ITF Gdansk: Daria Kuczer vs Elena Malygina BUY Daria Kuczer 94¢ $25 2h
ITF Gdansk: Daria Kuczer vs Elena Malygina BUY Daria Kuczer 93¢ $16 2h
Plovdiv: Andres Santamarta vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Andres Santamarta 94¢ $40 2h
ITF Taipei: Aishi Das vs Ikumi Yamazaki BUY Aishi Das 94¢ $5 9h
ITF Palma Del Rio: Meritxell Teixido Garcia vs Sabine Rutlauka BUY Meritxell Teixido Garcia 93¢ $40 17h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Vendula Valdmannov BUY Ekaterine Gorgodze 89¢ $43 23h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sayaka Ishii BUY Kaitlin Quevedo 99¢ $13 23h
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katarzyna Kawa vs Susan Bandecchi BUY Katarzyna Kawa 95¢ $44 24h
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alejandro Tabilo BUY Fabian Marozsan 95¢ $40 26h
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Linda Noskova BUY Gabriela Ruse 95¢ $40 27h
ITF Bakio: Joan Torres Espinosa vs Alejandro Arcila BUY Joan Torres Espinosa 86¢ $41 27h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munar BUY Zizou Bergs 95¢ $40 42h
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 95¢ $40 46h
ITF Irvine: Alina Shcherbinina vs Monika Ekstrand BUY Alina Shcherbinina 96¢ $41 2d
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 92¢ $5 2d
Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Ayla Aksu BUY Darja Vidmanova 95¢ $40 3d
ITF San Gregorio: Gabriela Ce vs Beatrise Zeltina BUY Gabriela Ce 96¢ $40 3d
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Masamichi Imamura BUY Jake Delaney 93¢ $41 3d
ITF Zhengzhou: Evialina Laskevich vs Jiaqi Wang BUY Evialina Laskevich 95¢ $40 3d
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Toby Samuel vs Quentin Halys BUY Toby Samuel 95¢ $10 4d
Bad Homburg Open, Qualification: Irina-Camelia Begu vs Tamara Korpatsc BUY Irina-Camelia Begu 94¢ $9 4d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 83¢ $10 4d
ITF Taipei: Dayeon Back vs Hiromi Abe BUY Dayeon Back 95¢ $10 4d
ITF Zhengzhou: Evialina Laskevich vs Chenting Zhu BUY Evialina Laskevich 95¢ $10 4d
Poznan: Dalibor Svrcina vs Gustavo Heide BUY Dalibor Svrcina 95¢ $10 4d
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Paula Badosa BUY Linda Noskova 95¢ $10 5d
ITF Ystad: Lea Nilsson vs Linea Bajraliu BUY Lea Nilsson 95¢ $10 5d
ITF Bolszewo: Julie Pastikova vs Weronika Ewald BUY Julie Pastikova 93¢ $9 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1158 history records