Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe3d3…eec6
crypto · 561 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$130 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$129
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses248 / 312
Open positions1
Markets (closed)560 / 561
History coverage28d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day49.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 560 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$298
7 days−$119
14 days−$128
30 days−$129
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 49¢ 74¢ $9 $13 +$4 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 52¢ 26¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$6 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$130
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 553 -1.0% -10.5% 44% 40% -12.0%
≤30d 560 -1.1% -10.5% 44% 40% -12.2%
≤90d 560 -1.1% -10.5% 44% 40% -12.2%
all 560 -1.1% -10.5% 44% 40% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 40% -12.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 36% -20.6%
15% -26.9% 31% -28.2%
20% -34.0% 28% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.93 · official $11.81 · 1970 history records