Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:06:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe3cc…379f
other · 121 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$444 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$421 · open −$44
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$370
Realized−$421
Unrealized−$44
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses10 / 23
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions88
Markets (closed)33 / 121
History coverage3d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day61.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 88 History 33 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$421
7 days−$421
14 days−$421
30 days−$421
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $80 $79 −$1 (-2%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Over 21¢ 20¢ $30 $28 −$2 (-7%)
Will Algeria reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $20 $23 +$3 (+14%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Over 37¢ 30¢ $20 $16 −$4 (-20%)
Will Senegal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+32%)
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Ecuador? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score Yes 55¢ 55¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score Yes 42¢ 42¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? No 50¢ 45¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-10%)
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-14%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $8 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-30%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $7 $7 −$1 (-7%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-25%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-12%)
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 11¢ 11¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 14¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Will Diogo Costa record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 13¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 7¢ 5¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-29%)
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken? Jun 14 $51 −$24 -46%
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 14 $2 $0 -21%
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 −$2 -32%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $66 −$4 -5%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $20 +$26 +128%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $714 −$640 -90%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 14 $107 +$23 +21%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Jun 14 $163 +$170 +105%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $73 +$41 +57%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $71 −$10 -14%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $22 −$10 -44%
Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $5 $0 -4%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $30 −$28 -92%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $112 +$122 +109%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $165 −$163 -99%
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $5 +$14 +266%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Raphinha: 4+ shots Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Scott McTominay: 1+ goals Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $8 −$8 -98%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 13 $1 −$1 -56%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 South Africa? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $14 +$16 +114%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $71 +$81 +114%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$14 +136%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $15 +$13 +84%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 −$8 -76%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? Jun 12 $9 −$7 -72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 58% −$821
sports 37% +$370
crypto 3% −$3
world 1% −$3
politics 0% −$1
tech 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? SELL Yes 33¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 25¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 57¢ $1 1h
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca BUY Justin Gaethje 21¢ $1 1h
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 1h
Will Qatar go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 1h
Will Canada go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 2h
Will United States go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 2h
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 2h
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 66¢ $1 2h
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 2h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 37¢ $2 2h
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? BUY Yes 76¢ $1 2h
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2h
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 2h
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 2h
World Cup Goal Contributions H2H: Valverde vs. Fernandes BUY Fede 27¢ $1 2h
World Cup Goal Contributions H2H: Vitinha vs. Pedri BUY Vitinha 54¢ $1 2h
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026? BUY Yes 32¢ $1 2h
Will North America (CONCACAF) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA Wo BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2h
Will Africa (CAF) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 2h
Will Türkiye be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA Worl BUY Yes 15¢ $1 2h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at t BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2h
Will Scotland be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 2h
Will Sweden be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2h
Will Austria be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2h
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2h
Will a player representing USA be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA BUY Yes 5¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -18.7% -26.4% 30% 30% -27.7%
≤30d 33 -18.7% -26.4% 30% 30% -27.7%
≤90d 33 -18.7% -26.4% 30% 30% -27.7%
all 33 -18.7% -26.4% 30% 30% -27.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.4% 30% -27.7%
10% ← realistic here -33.5% 27% -34.6%
15% -39.9% 27% -40.9%
20% -45.8% 27% -46.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $370.33 · official $370.41 (match) · 195 history records