trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 24¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-9%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 81¢ | 0¢ | $15 | $0 | −$15 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $21 | +$6 | +28% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $6 | +$4 | +63% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $39 | −$12 | -31% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $16 | +$2 | +14% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -5.2% | -14.3% | 60% | 60% | -23.9% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -5.2% | -14.3% | 60% | 60% | -23.9% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -5.2% | -14.3% | 60% | 60% | -23.9% |
| all | 5 | -5.2% | -14.3% | 60% | 60% | -23.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.3% | 60% | -23.9% |
| 10% | -22.5% | 40% | -31.2% |
| 15% | -30.0% | 20% | -37.8% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 20% | -43.9% |