Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:59:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe3bc…4b5b
crypto · 1255 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$213 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$213 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$213
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses639 / 615
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1254 / 1255
History coverage63d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day55.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$1
14 days−$46
30 days−$101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$5 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +137%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +174%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$213
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $12 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $4 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 28¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 +5.2% -4.8% 43% 36% -9.6%
≤30d 444 -0.5% -10.0% 50% 23% -13.1%
≤90d 1254 -1.5% -10.9% 51% 29% -12.1%
all 1254 -1.5% -10.9% 51% 29% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 29% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.4% 14% -20.5%
15% -27.2% 6% -28.2%
20% -34.4% 3% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records