trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +37.9% | +24.7% | 100% | 60% | +14.8% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +14.9% | +4.0% | 83% | 50% | +14.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +1.0% | -8.6% | 70% | 50% | +12.1% |
| all | 28 | -2.2% | -11.5% | 68% | 36% | -31.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.5% | 36% | -31.2% |
| 10% | -20.0% | 29% | -37.8% |
| 15% | -27.7% | 21% | -43.8% |
| 20% | -34.8% | 14% | -49.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $9,000 | $8,944 | −$56 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 51¢ | 50¢ | $644 | $640 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 34¢ | 34¢ | $312 | $311 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 49¢ | 90¢ | $10 | $18 | +$8 (+85%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 0 Canada? | Jun 29 | $1,000 | +$7 | +1% |
| Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? | Jun 29 | $2,016 | +$724 | +36% |
| Algeria vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 28 | $661 | +$851 | +129% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $2,003 | +$85 | +4% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $2,010 | +$399 | +20% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | Jun 08 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | May 11 | $1 | +$1 | +93% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? | May 11 | $1,007 | +$275 | +27% |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03? | May 02 | $109 | −$108 | -99% |
| Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5 | Apr 26 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5 | Mar 02 | $4,452 | −$4,452 | -100% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 | Mar 02 | $2,300 | +$2,210 | +96% |
| Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5 | Feb 28 | $3,622 | −$3,622 | -100% |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5 | Feb 28 | $2,100 | −$2,100 | -100% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Jan 28 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meetin | Jan 28 | $260 | +$4 | +2% |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? | Dec 17 | $260 | +$1 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Nov 03 | $250 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31? | Oct 15 | $1,048 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Oct 15 | $1,050 | −$2 | -0% |
| Adin Ross unbanned from Twitch before 2025? | Sep 29 | $1 | +$1 | +127% |
| Will Trump election interference trial start in September or October? | Sep 29 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Jazz vs. Kings | Nov 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Trump sentenced to no prison time? | Oct 24 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl? | Sep 26 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on July 26? | Aug 25 | $6 | +$3 | +47% |
| Will England win Group C? | Jul 20 | $13 | +$3 | +19% |
| NBA Finals Winner: Celtics vs. Mavericks | Jun 24 | $3 | +$1 | +30% |