trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +211.1% | +181.5% | 55% | 55% | +104.8% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +180.7% | +154.0% | 57% | 57% | +31.6% |
| ≤90d | 35 | +43.0% | +29.4% | 40% | 37% | -13.3% |
| all | 58 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 29% | 28% | -44.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.4% | 28% | -44.2% |
| 10% | -19.9% | 28% | -49.5% |
| 15% | -27.6% | 28% | -54.4% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 26% | -58.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $140 | $143 | +$3 (+2%) |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | No | 0¢ | 34¢ | $0 | $101 | +$101 (+0%) |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | No | 0¢ | 50¢ | $0 | $99 | +$99 (+0%) |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $100 | $93 | −$7 (-7%) |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 5¢ | 4¢ | $106 | $86 | −$20 (-19%) |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | No | 0¢ | 48¢ | $0 | $66 | +$66 (+0%) |
| Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $50 | $43 | −$7 (-14%) |
| France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Under | 0¢ | 16¢ | $0 | $29 | +$29 (+0%) |
| France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | Under | 0¢ | 12¢ | $0 | $29 | +$29 (+0%) |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $32 | $27 | −$5 (-17%) |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $30 | $20 | −$10 (-35%) |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $22 | −$22 | -98% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $42 | −$42 | -100% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $150 | +$101 | +67% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $23 | +$550 | +2360% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $72 | +$73 | +101% |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 21 | $25 | +$120 | +475% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 | Jun 20 | $25 | −$24 | -97% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $158 | +$102 | +65% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $29 | +$33 | +114% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $441 | −$441 | -100% |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) | Jun 01 | $4 | +$4 | +105% |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | Jun 01 | $99 | +$201 | +203% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | May 03 | $61 | −$60 | -99% |
| Spread: Pistons (-8.5) | May 03 | $157 | −$155 | -98% |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | Apr 26 | $157 | −$157 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 26 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 26 | $100 | +$100 | +100% |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) | Apr 21 | $180 | −$177 | -98% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | Apr 20 | $143 | −$11 | -8% |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) | Apr 18 | $191 | +$4 | +2% |
| Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 219.5 | Apr 08 | $125 | +$116 | +93% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Apr 06 | $125 | −$123 | -98% |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | Apr 06 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Apr 06 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 05 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 247.5 | Apr 04 | $200 | −$197 | -99% |
| Wizards vs. Heat | Apr 04 | $20 | −$19 | -97% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Apr 04 | $284 | +$116 | +41% |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | Apr 04 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Apr 02 | $105 | −$104 | -98% |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Apr 02 | $213 | +$122 | +57% |
| Knicks vs. Grizzlies | Apr 01 | $76 | −$74 | -97% |
| Celtics vs. Hornets | Mar 31 | $304 | +$269 | +89% |
| Magic vs. Cavaliers | Mar 22 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Mar 22 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets | Mar 20 | $58 | −$58 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Rockets | Mar 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Magic | Mar 20 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Mar 16 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Thunder | Mar 12 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Spurs | Mar 05 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Timberwolves | Mar 05 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Bucks | Mar 02 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) | Mar 01 | $140 | −$140 | -100% |
| Spread: Lakers (-4.5) | Feb 26 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Magic vs. Lakers | Feb 25 | $50 | +$89 | +178% |
| Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | Feb 24 | $927 | −$914 | -99% |
| Celtics vs. Lakers | Feb 24 | $113 | +$100 | +89% |