Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:13:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe375…b335
other · 1559 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$414 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$237 · open −$158
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$230
Realized−$237
Unrealized−$158
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses281 / 1227
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions60
Markets (closed)1508 / 1559
History coverage59d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day38.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit41%
Chart Positions 60 History 1508 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$34
14 days−$93
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $147 $86 −$62 (-42%)
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-3%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 23¢ 18¢ $12 $9 −$3 (-25%)
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $17 $9 −$8 (-49%)
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes 3¢ 25¢ $1 $8 +$7 (+742%)
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $12 $7 −$5 (-38%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-15%)
Will Kevin Spacey be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $16 $6 −$10 (-64%)
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $9 $5 −$4 (-41%)
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No 1¢ 1¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-40%)
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-21%)
Is Earth flat? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+31%)
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $12 $4 −$8 (-64%)
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-17%)
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-40%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+16%)
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-11%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 12¢ 8¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-30%)
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $7 $3 −$4 (-60%)
Epstein client list released by June 30? Yes 18¢ 2¢ $24 $3 −$21 (-89%)
Will Bill Clinton be arrested before 2027? Yes 10¢ 4¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-60%)
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $5 $2 −$4 (-64%)
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-51%)
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Lea Ma Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the match end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 +$7 +650%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Malawi Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Nanari Katsumi Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Camila Markus vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Los Angeles: Tia Messerli vs Klara Kosan Jun 10 $1 +$9 +874%
ITF Tokyo: Funa Kozaki vs Nao Nishino Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: United Arab Emirates vs Malaysia Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF Hurghada: Prathyusha Rachapudi vs Sandra Samir Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska Jun 10 $1 +$3 +275%
ITF Zagreb: Briana Szabo vs Rositsa Dencheva Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Fiji win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $2 +$1 +43%
Will Argentina vs. Iceland end in a draw? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Maanshan: Jia Hu vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Iceland win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $1 −$1 -89%
T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia Jun 09 $2 +$32 +1575%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 09 $1 +$5 +448%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $1 $0 -19%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $2 $0 -4%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $1 $0 -31%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 04 $1 +$2 +196%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -93%
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? Jun 02 $3 −$2 -76%
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -69%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
US x China tariff agreement by May 31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Chicago Stars FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Houston Dash win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $2 −$2 -100%
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $4 $0 -2%
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $3 −$3 -100%
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale? Jun 01 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$328
sports 31% −$2
politics 2% −$27
world 2% −$31
crypto 0% $0
culture 0% −$4
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? BUY No 1¢ $2 31m
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 1h
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? BUY No 1¢ $5 1h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? BUY Yes 19¢ $2 1h
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? BUY Yes 19¢ $5 2h
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 2h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 4h
Will the match end in a draw? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 4h
ITF Decatur: Ana Grubor vs Lea Ma BUY Ana Grubor 10¢ $1 4h
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 4h
Will the match end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 18h
Will the match end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 18h
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Nanari Katsumi BUY Nanari Katsumi 9¢ $1 43h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Malawi BUY Malawi 9¢ $1 43h
ITF Cuiaba: Camila Markus vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez BUY Camila Markus 8¢ $1 2d
Will Costa Rica win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 2d
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 2d
ITF Los Angeles: Tia Messerli vs Klara Kosan BUY Tia Messerli 10¢ $1 2d
ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska BUY Yannick Baluska 13¢ $1 2d
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 2d
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 2d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 2d
ITF Tokyo: Funa Kozaki vs Nao Nishino BUY Funa Kozaki 31¢ $1 2d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 17¢ $1 2d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles SELL Baltimore Orioles 21¢ $3 2d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 1¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +86.4% +68.7% 25% 25% +89.9%
≤30d 257 -18.8% -26.6% 12% 12% -43.8%
≤90d 1508 -10.9% -19.4% 19% 19% -21.7%
all 1508 -10.9% -19.4% 19% 19% -21.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 19% -21.7%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 19% -29.2%
15% -34.2% 18% -36.1%
20% -40.6% 18% -42.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $229.78 · official $229.79 (match) · 3500 history records