Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:25:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe36a…0c95
crypto · 120 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$235 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$266 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$266
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses92 / 28
Open positions0
Markets (closed)120 / 120
History coverage12d
Avg bet$92
Trades / day41.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$4
14 days−$266
30 days−$266
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $257 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$4 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$3 +280%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 04 $247 −$169 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 04 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 04 $247 −$83 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 04 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 04 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 04 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 04 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 04 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 04 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 04 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 04 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 04 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 04 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 04 $249 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 04 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 04 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 03 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 03 $246 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 03 $249 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 03 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 03 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 03 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 03 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 03 $250 −$75 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 03 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 03 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 03 $247 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 03 $250 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 03 $250 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$266
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $52 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +5.3% -4.8% 53% 20% -8.5%
≤30d 120 -0.8% -10.3% 77% 8% -11.7%
≤90d 120 -0.8% -10.3% 77% 8% -11.7%
all 120 -0.8% -10.3% 77% 8% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover41.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 8% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 5% -20.1%
15% -26.7% 5% -27.9%
20% -33.9% 4% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 588 history records