Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe359…e7f7
sports · 1296 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$127 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$127 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$127
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses965 / 328
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1293 / 1296
History coverage589d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 3 History 1293 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$25
14 days+$35
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) Giron 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 76¢ 76¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Tallon Griekspoor 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Racing Club de Lens 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 Over 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5) Shanghai Haigang FC 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-17? No 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 5.5 Under 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? No 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? No 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-05-03? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17? No 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? No 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 Under 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5) Manchester United FC 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-03? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Czechia leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
South Africa leading at halftime? Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +21%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% +$7
other 24% −$32
politics 14% −$100
world 0% −$1
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 76¢ $1 1h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 79¢ $1 3h
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana BUY Mary Stoiana 75¢ $1 4h
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5) BUY Giron 99¢ $1 5h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 79¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 84¢ $1 7h
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) BUY T1 88¢ $1 7h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? BUY No 91¢ $1 13h
Spread: Czechia (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 88¢ $1 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 84¢ $1 13h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Czechia 84¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? BUY No 90¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 92¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? BUY No 95¢ $1 13h
Czechia leading at halftime? BUY No 76¢ $1 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $1 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 93¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? BUY No 91¢ $1 13h
Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) BUY Czechia 95¢ $1 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 74¢ $1 13h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 91¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? BUY No 92¢ $1 13h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? BUY No 94¢ $1 13h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 75¢ $1 15h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Indiana Fever 80¢ $1 16h
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $1 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 86¢ $1 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $1 20h
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? BUY No 83¢ $1 20h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 80¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 229 +10.6% +0.1% 92% 66% +0.1%
≤30d 976 +3.3% -6.5% 85% 64% -6.4%
≤90d 1292 -2.3% -11.6% 75% 58% -11.4%
all 1293 -2.4% -11.7% 75% 58% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 58% -17.7%
10% -20.1% 38% -25.6%
15% -27.8% 14% -32.7%
20% -34.9% 2% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.27 · official $3.27 (match) · 2265 history records