Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:10:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe357…b709
crypto · 582 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$628 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$600 · open −$28
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$81
Realized−$600
Unrealized−$28
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses258 / 323
Open positions1
Markets (closed)581 / 582
History coverage2d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day1151.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 581 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$303
7 days−$600
14 days−$600
30 days−$600
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 60¢ 88¢ $45 $66 +$21 (+46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 35¢ 12¢ $44 $16 −$28 (-64%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $137 +$13 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $37 +$13 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$14 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $154 −$54 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$13 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $75 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $102 −$27 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $68 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $89 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$134 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $251 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $58 −$8 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$31 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $186 −$36 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $152 +$48 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $55 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$21 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$61 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$9 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $56 +$19 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $144 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $241 −$16 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $37 +$13 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$12 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$32 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$7 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$48 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$9 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $70 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$51 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$7 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$10 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$39 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$17 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$1 -5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$628
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $17 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $14 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $14 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $8 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $17 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $13 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $17 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $9 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $7 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $17 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $16 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $17 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $17 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $11 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 581 -3.4% -12.6% 44% 35% -11.3%
≤30d 581 -3.4% -12.6% 44% 35% -11.3%
≤90d 581 -3.4% -12.6% 44% 35% -11.3%
all 581 -3.4% -12.6% 44% 35% -11.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1151.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 35% -11.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 28% -19.8%
15% -28.6% 22% -27.5%
20% -35.6% 9% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $81.25 · official $81.25 (match) · 3500 history records