Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:05:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe34d…b5c1
crypto · 48 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$14 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$54
Realized−$22
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses28 / 17
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)45 / 48
History coverage36d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 3 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$26
14 days−$24
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes 11¢ 6¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-41%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 82¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$4 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +15%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +70%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $2 +$2 +109%
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$12 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +70%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +84%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? Jun 01 $5 +$2 +40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? May 30 $5 +$1 +23%
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for May 11–May 1 May 23 $5 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$16
other 29% −$9
tech 2% +$1
sports 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $8 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 61¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $4 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $4 5h
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? SELL Yes 89¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 20h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $2 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -4.4% -13.5% 59% 46% -20.8%
≤30d 45 -2.3% -11.6% 62% 49% -18.3%
≤90d 45 -2.3% -11.6% 62% 49% -18.3%
all 45 -2.3% -11.6% 62% 49% -18.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 49% -18.3%
10% -20.1% 40% -26.1%
15% -27.8% 31% -33.2%
20% -34.9% 27% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $54.01 · official $54.01 (match) · 93 history records