trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 75% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 75% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 26 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 38% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -25.7% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 79¢ | 80¢ | $39 | $39 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 21¢ | 4¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-79%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 04 | $39 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 01 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 25 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Sep 14 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Sep 14 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025? | Sep 13 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025? | Sep 13 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Sep 12 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September? | Sep 12 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Sep 11 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Sep 11 | $9 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Sep 10 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Sep 10 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? | Sep 09 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Sep 09 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Sep 09 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | Sep 02 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Sep 02 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia? | Sep 02 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | Aug 29 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 | Aug 28 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by August 31? | Aug 28 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Aug 28 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Aug 28 | $33 | $0 | +0% |