Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:40:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E3
0xe309…1433
crypto · 1568 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$421 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$419 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$419
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses843 / 888
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1731 / 1568
History coverage10d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day236.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1731 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$804
7 days−$570
14 days−$419
30 days−$419
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 60¢ 2¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$474
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1411 -9.8% -18.4% 46% 41% -22.4%
≤30d 1731 -5.3% -14.3% 49% 43% -16.4%
≤90d 1731 -5.3% -14.3% 49% 43% -16.4%
all 1731 -5.3% -14.3% 49% 43% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover236.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 43% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 37% -24.4%
15% -30.0% 31% -31.7%
20% -36.9% 24% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.04 · official $0.76 (match) · 3500 history records