Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:07:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe2fa…080c
weather · 91 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$51
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses12 / 76
Open positions3
Markets (closed)88 / 91
History coverage55d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 3 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days+$1
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 28? No 98¢ 100¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-30%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-95%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 24? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on April 27? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 23? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on April 24? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 26? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 24? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 25? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 56-57°F on April 26? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 22? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 27? No 98¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 21? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 22? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on April 22? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 25? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 23? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 85 and 90? No 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on April 24? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on April 26? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 21? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $11 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9? Jun 10 $14 $0 -0%
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher world Jun 09 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 7? Jun 07 $14 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on June 6? Jun 06 $14 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in wee Jun 06 $11 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5? Jun 05 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4? Jun 04 $15 $0 -0%
Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races? Jun 04 $12 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 3? Jun 03 $14 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 2? Jun 03 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 1? Jun 02 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 1? Jun 01 $14 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 31? Jun 01 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31? May 31 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 30? May 31 $16 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 30? May 30 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 29? May 29 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on May 28? May 29 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 28? May 29 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May May 28 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 27? May 27 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 27? May 27 $13 $0 -0%
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? May 24 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on Ma May 21 $11 $0 -0%
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"? May 20 $9 +$1 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15? May 18 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 16? May 17 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 16? May 16 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 15? May 15 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 14? May 15 $12 $0 -0%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 13? May 13 $14 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 6? May 07 $10 $0 -0%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on May 6? May 06 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 6? May 06 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 6? May 06 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on May 5? May 06 $12 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or higher on May 5? May 05 $11 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 5? May 05 $11 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 5? May 05 $14 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast's video get between 68 and 69 million views on day 4? May 05 $11 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 5? May 05 $15 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on May 4? May 05 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 4? May 05 $14 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4? May 05 $13 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on May 4? May 04 $10 $0 -0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4? May 04 $13 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders say "Elon" or "Musk" in Michigan? May 03 $10 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 91% −$17
other 6% +$2
politics 2% −$9
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 41m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $14 42m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 21h
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on June 13? BUY No 99¢ $11 21h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 47h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $15 47h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 12? BUY No 99¢ $12 2d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 3d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on June 11? BUY No 98¢ $10 3d
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 5d
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 9? BUY No 98¢ $14 5d
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher world BUY No 1¢ $0 6d
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher world BUY Yes 99¢ $13 6d
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 7? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 6d
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 7? BUY No 99¢ $14 6d
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in wee SELL Yes 99¢ $12 7d
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in wee BUY Yes 95¢ $11 7d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on June 6? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 8d
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on June 6? BUY No 99¢ $14 8d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 9d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5? BUY No 99¢ $12 9d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4? BUY No 2¢ $0 10d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 10d
Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races? SELL No 100¢ $13 10d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 3? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 11d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 3? BUY No 99¢ $14 11d
Will the Democratic Party win 14 upper-level local government races? BUY No 94¢ $12 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-33.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 32 -2.7% -12.0% 9% 0% -11.4%
≤90d 88 -26.9% -33.9% 14% 0% -12.2%
all 88 -26.9% -33.9% 14% 0% -12.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.9% 0% -12.2%
10% -40.2% 0% -20.6%
15% -46.0% 0% -28.3%
20% -51.3% 0% -35.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.88 · official $50.88 (match) · 280 history records