Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:02:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe2f2…439d
crypto · 91 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$153 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$149 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$75
Realized−$149
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses35 / 53
Open positions3
Markets (closed)88 / 91
History coverage62d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day7.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$160
7 days−$160
14 days−$172
30 days−$172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 71¢ 74¢ $49 $51 +$2 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 35¢ 26¢ $14 $10 −$4 (-28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 58¢ 62¢ $7 $8 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 76¢ 64¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 30¢ 38¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+28%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$14 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $160 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$3 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $115 −$80 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $49 −$22 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$11 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $138 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 4? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 14? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 4? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $115 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $166 +$76 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $75 −$10 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$10 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $54 −$10 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $43 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $197 −$11 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 05 $13 −$3 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 05 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 05 $10 −$4 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 05 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$152
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $8 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $10 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -53.6% -58.0% 16% 7% -18.7%
≤30d 83 -23.9% -31.2% 37% 22% -17.8%
≤90d 88 -17.8% -25.6% 40% 24% -16.4%
all 88 -17.8% -25.6% 40% 24% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.6% 24% -16.4%
10% -32.7% 17% -24.4%
15% -39.2% 12% -31.7%
20% -45.2% 10% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $75.48 · official $66.77 · 571 history records