Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T10:58:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E2 0xe2e8…46c5 sports 7 markets active 2h ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$27 (-5%) realized −$27 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 7L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$79per market
Trades / day16.0pace
Fees−$7est.
Kalshi-fit57%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 56% −$17
other 44% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -5.2% -14.3% 0% 0% -14.0%
≤30d 7 -5.2% -14.3% 0% 0% -14.0%
≤90d 7 -5.2% -14.3% 0% 0% -14.0%
all 7 -5.2% -14.3% 0% 0% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 0% -14.0%
10% -22.5% 0% -22.2%
15% -30.0% 0% -29.7%
20% -36.8% 0% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$4 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 7
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)7 / 7
History coverage1d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 7 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? Jun 18 $122 −$4 -3%
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? Jun 18 $122 −$5 -4%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? Jun 18 $61 −$2 -3%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime? Jun 18 $61 −$3 -5%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? Jun 18 $62 −$4 -6%
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 Jun 18 $61 −$3 -5%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 18 $62 −$6 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? SELL No 82¢ $118 1h
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? SELL No 70¢ $117 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? SELL Yes 88¢ $59 1h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime? SELL No 54¢ $58 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? SELL No 43¢ $58 1h
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 75¢ $58 1h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 21¢ $56 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 89¢ $61 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 83¢ $61 1h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 22¢ $62 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 44¢ $62 1h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Draw at halftime? BUY No 55¢ $61 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 83¢ $61 1h
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY No 71¢ $61 1h
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? BUY No 71¢ $61 1h
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 77¢ $61 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 16 history records