Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:22:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe2da…5fe0
crypto · 1805 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$224 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$124 · open −$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$397
Realized−$124
Unrealized−$31
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1478 / 303
Open positions57
Markets (closed)1781 / 1805
History coverage34d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day60.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 57 History 1781 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$5
14 days−$57
30 days−$162
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No 87¢ 94¢ $29 $32 +$2 (+8%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? No 8¢ 36¢ $3 $14 +$11 (+344%)
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? No 70¢ 100¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+43%)
Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04? No 89¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? No 90¢ 98¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Will s1mple retire by June 30? No 89¢ 97¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June? No 89¢ 90¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30? No 89¢ 90¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Raymond McKay be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? Yes 90¢ 90¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Netanyahu out by June 30? No 94¢ 99¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Will Eric Pratt be the Republican Nominee for MN-02? Yes 95¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026? No 94¢ 98¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+4%)
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? No 91¢ 97¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+7%)
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? No 93¢ 97¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? Yes 90¢ 88¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? No 94¢ 97¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30? No 93¢ 96¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Sam McCown be the Republican Nominee for SC-01? No 94¢ 96¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? Yes 96¢ 96¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Chris Coons be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Delaware? Yes 95¢ 95¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will John E. Sununu be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? Yes 90¢ 95¢ $9 $10 +$0 (+6%)
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? No 94¢ 95¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? Yes 91¢ 93¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes 94¢ 93¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31? Jun 13 $1 −$2 -248%
Named storm forms before hurricane season? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$9 +733%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$62
politics 2% −$18
other 1% −$29
tech 0% +$1
world 0% −$13
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 43m
Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary BUY Yes 96¢ $10 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 -9.7% -18.3% 10% 6% -21.5%
≤30d 1475 -3.0% -12.2% 80% 7% -10.2%
≤90d 1781 -2.3% -11.6% 83% 7% -10.0%
all 1781 -2.3% -11.6% 83% 7% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 7% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 2% -18.6%
15% -27.8% 1% -26.5%
20% -34.8% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $397.23 · official $395.57 (match) · 3500 history records