Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:08:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe2d1…9740
crypto · 166 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$23
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses118 / 45
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)163 / 166
History coverage146d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 163 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 58¢ 76¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+32%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 83¢ 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-67%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Astralis 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) JD Gaming 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs Vitality 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In NIP 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier Aurora Gaming 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -81%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Feb 01 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Jan 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jan 31 $6 −$5 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jan 31 $1 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jan 31 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jan 31 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jan 31 $5 −$1 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jan 31 $4 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jan 31 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jan 31 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jan 31 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jan 31 $3 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jan 31 $2 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jan 31 $3 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In Jan 30 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jan 29 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jan 29 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jan 29 $3 +$1 +33%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January? Jan 27 $5 $0 +0%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January? Jan 27 $8 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jan 27 $5 $0 +0%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jan 26 $1 $0 +8%
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jan 26 $7 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jan 26 $3 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jan 25 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jan 25 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jan 25 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jan 25 $2 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 11AM ET Jan 25 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET Jan 25 $3 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs Jan 24 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jan 24 $2 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jan 23 $3 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jan 23 $2 $0 +7%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jan 23 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jan 23 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jan 23 $7 +$2 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jan 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jan 23 $6 −$6 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jan 23 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jan 23 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jan 23 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jan 23 $1 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jan 23 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jan 23 $1 $0 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jan 22 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jan 22 $8 +$2 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% −$7
sports 17% −$17
other 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 47¢ $1 6m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 83¢ $1 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 75¢ $1 36m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $2 48m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 82¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 14¢ $0 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 71¢ $1 3h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 99¢ $2 19h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 87¢ $2 20h
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $4 131d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A BUY Astralis 19¢ $0 131d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A BUY Astralis 19¢ $0 131d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A BUY Astralis 19¢ $0 131d
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A BUY Astralis 19¢ $1 131d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 132d
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 132d
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 132d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -16.0% -24.0% 67% 67% -12.3%
≤30d 3 -16.0% -24.0% 67% 67% -12.3%
≤90d 3 -16.0% -24.0% 67% 67% -12.3%
all 163 +1.3% -8.3% 72% 25% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 25% -13.5%
10% -17.1% 16% -21.8%
15% -25.1% 10% -29.4%
20% -32.5% 6% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.97 · official $2.97 (match) · 390 history records