Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T15:36:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E2 0xe2cd…607e sports 788 markets active 15h ago coverage 124d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$228 (-0%) realized −$228 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate85%667W / 121L
Whale WR87%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$253per market
Trades / day13.0pace
Fees−$436est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$351
7 days−$1,776
14 days−$1,820
30 days−$2,424
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 86% −$2,179
crypto 7% −$336
other 4% +$1,099
politics 2% +$631
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -12.7% -21.0% 77% 18% -18.7%
≤30d 359 -3.8% -12.9% 84% 23% -13.2%
≤90d 584 +1.5% -8.1% 83% 29% -10.2%
all 788 +1.2% -8.4% 85% 27% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 27% -9.9%
10% -17.2% 11% -18.5%
15% -25.2% 6% -26.4%
20% -32.5% 4% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
66% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 87% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +5% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$29 vs −$167 · ×0.17 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

124d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$228
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses667 / 121
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Est. fees paid−$436
Open positions0
Markets (closed)788 / 788
History coverage124d
Avg bet$253
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 788 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 16 $901 +$27 +3%
Basket Zielona Gora vs. Legia Warszawa Jun 15 $501 +$30 +6%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Jun 15 $973 +$36 +4%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin Jun 15 $704 −$704 -100%
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty Jun 14 $1,002 +$57 +6%
Joventut vs. Valencia Jun 14 $502 +$57 +11%
Ironi Ness Ziona vs. Elitzur Netanya Jun 14 $1,003 +$97 +10%
Hapoel Galil Elyon vs. Maccabi Raanana Jun 14 $501 +$48 +10%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $100 −$50 -50%
Basket Zielona Gora vs. Legia Warszawa Jun 13 $402 +$89 +22%
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos Jun 13 $702 +$85 +12%
Dziki Warszawa vs. Arka Gdynia Jun 12 $701 +$24 +4%
Valencia vs. Joventut Jun 12 $702 +$34 +5%
BC Zalgiris Kaunas vs. BC Juventus Utena Jun 12 $501 +$22 +4%
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Jun 12 $627 +$67 +11%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $503 −$372 -74%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $501 +$24 +5%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $902 +$60 +7%
BC Neptunas Klaipeda vs. BC Lietkabelis Panevezys Jun 11 $4 $0 +1%
Legia Warszawa vs. Basket Zielona Gora Jun 10 $60 +$1 +1%
Hapoel Holon BC vs. Maccabi Tel-Aviv Jun 10 $500 +$13 +3%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 10 $1,001 +$39 +4%
Unics Kazan vs. CSKA Moscow Jun 10 $923 +$117 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $51 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$1 +2%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 10 $50 −$2 -3%
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 10 $50 +$3 +6%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Jan Choinski Jun 10 $50 −$16 -31%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Andrej Martin Jun 10 $50 +$8 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $50 +$2 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota Lynx BUY Minnesota Lynx 97¢ $901 15h
Basket Zielona Gora vs. Legia Warszawa SELL Basket Zielona Gora 100¢ $531 19h
Basket Zielona Gora vs. Legia Warszawa BUY Basket Zielona Gora 94¢ $501 19h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas SELL Fenerbahce 100¢ $1,009 20h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 96¢ $300 21h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 96¢ $672 21h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty SELL New York Liberty 100¢ $1,059 42h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY New York Liberty 96¢ $501 43h
Joventut vs. Valencia SELL Valencia 100¢ $559 43h
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty BUY New York Liberty 93¢ $501 43h
Joventut vs. Valencia BUY Valencia 89¢ $502 44h
Ironi Ness Ziona vs. Elitzur Netanya SELL Elitzur Netanya 100¢ $1,100 45h
Ironi Ness Ziona vs. Elitzur Netanya BUY Elitzur Netanya 95¢ $501 46h
Ironi Ness Ziona vs. Elitzur Netanya BUY Elitzur Netanya 87¢ $502 46h
Hapoel Galil Elyon vs. Maccabi Raanana SELL Hapoel Galil Elyon 100¢ $549 46h
Hapoel Galil Elyon vs. Maccabi Raanana BUY Hapoel Galil Elyon 91¢ $501 47h
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin BUY FC Bayern Munchen 80¢ $704 2d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell SELL Kimberly Birrell 46¢ $50 2d
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell BUY Kimberly Birrell 90¢ $100 2d
Basket Zielona Gora vs. Legia Warszawa SELL Legia Warszawa 100¢ $491 2d
Basket Zielona Gora vs. Legia Warszawa BUY Legia Warszawa 84¢ $201 2d
Basket Zielona Gora vs. Legia Warszawa BUY Legia Warszawa 79¢ $201 2d
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos SELL Olympiacos B.C. 100¢ $788 2d
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 90¢ $301 2d
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 89¢ $100 3d
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 89¢ $100 3d
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 86¢ $100 3d
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 87¢ $100 3d
Dziki Warszawa vs. Arka Gdynia SELL Dziki Warszawa 100¢ $725 3d
Dziki Warszawa vs. Arka Gdynia BUY Dziki Warszawa 97¢ $300 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1963 history records